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The AI Job Shock: A SmartGuy Report on the Future of Work and Economic Stability
Dear SmartGuy® Members:
Why We Are Sending This Warning
We are writing this to you not as speculation, not as politics, and not as fear-mongering, but as a clear warning based on facts, data, and timing. Artificial intelligence and robotics are advancing faster than any technological shift in history. Over the next decade, they will permanently eliminate tens of millions of jobs. These jobs are not coming back. This is not a recession that recovers. It is a structural reset of how work, income, and survival function in modern society.
What the Data Already Confirms
Independent research institutions have already confirmed the scale of what is coming. Oxford University researchers estimate that nearly half of U.S. jobs are at high risk of automation. McKinsey Global Institute projects hundreds of millions of workers globally could be displaced by 2030. Goldman Sachs estimates AI could impact roughly 300 million full-time jobs worldwide. The World Economic Forum has repeatedly warned that entry-level and routine jobs will be hit first - the exact jobs young people rely on to survive and move forward. These are not activists or fringe voices. These are conservative, data-driven institutions looking at the numbers. And the numbers are accelerating.
Which Jobs Disappear First
The first wave begins between 2026 and 2028. Warehouses, logistics, fast food, retail, stocking, loading, and basic service work are the first to go. Shortly after, automation spreads into delivery driving, construction labor, office administration, call centers, customer support, and even entry-level tech and coding roles. By the early 2030s, the old promise of “start at the bottom and work your way up” collapses for millions. The ladder is not getting harder to climb. It is being removed.
What Happens If Governments Do Nothing
If governments do nothing or act too late, history shows exactly what follows:
long-term unemployment that does not self-correct,
rising homelessness and housing insecurity,
overwhelmed healthcare and public safety systems,
collapsing small businesses due to falling consumer demand,
growing anger, and
social unrest.
Once instability reaches that point, solutions become far more expensive, far more chaotic, and far less effective. Preventing collapse is cheaper than repairing it afterward.
The Truth Most People Are Not Being Told
What most people are not being told is that this crisis comes with a built-in solution. The same AI and robotics systems replacing human labor are generating massive, concentrated wealth. Industry projections show AI-driven productivity gains adding trillions of dollars per year to the economy as automation scales. In past economic shifts, jobs disappeared and wealth disappeared with them. This time, jobs disappear while wealth explodes.
That changes everything - if action happens early.
Who Should Pay and Why It’s Fair
This plan does not tax workers harder. It does not punish small businesses. It does not raise income taxes on people already struggling. It focuses on automation excess profits - profits generated specifically because machines replaced human labor. Those who benefit most from automation contribute back to economic stability. This is not punishment. It is balance.
The Only Plan That Matches Reality
The SmartGuy team supports a phased transition that matches the speed of job loss with the speed of automation-driven profit growth.
Phase One (2026–2028): Stop the Bleeding
As an estimated 10 to 15 million jobs disappear nationally, support must be targeted to displaced workers and households under 200 percent of the poverty line. Funding comes from a roughly 15 percent excess-profit tax on automation-driven profits and a small robotics sales fee, generating approximately $800 billion per year. This provides $800 to $1,000 per month in income support to keep people housed, fed, and stable.
Phase Two (2029–2032): Scale With Reality
As another 20 to 25 million jobs disappear, automation profits reach the trillions annually. Excess-profit taxes rise to roughly 25 to 30 percent, along with a modest AI and data licensing fee. Revenue grows to approximately $2 to $2.8 trillion per year. Income support expands into a near-universal floor of about $1,500 per month for adults, with benefits phasing out only at higher income levels and additional support for children.
Phase Three (2033–2035): Lock in Stability
With more than 40 million workers displaced and the traditional low-skill labor market no longer functioning, excess-profit taxes rise to roughly 35 to 40 percent. Revenue reaches $4 to $5 trillion per year. A permanent income floor of about $2,000 per month per adult is established, with additional support for children. This creates a modern economic baseline funded by the machines that replaced human labor.
Why 30 Percent Must Be Protected for the Future
We at SmartGuy strongly believe that at least 30 percent of income support for displaced workers should be delivered in Bitcoin and placed into locked, untouchable wallets. This portion cannot be spent short-term or manipulated politically. Bitcoin is not controlled by governments, cannot be inflated away, and protects long-term purchasing power. This ensures displaced workers are not just stabilized temporarily, but given a protected stake in the future economy.
Why Timing Decides Everything
If action happens before mass unemployment peaks, systems can be tested calmly, people remain housed and stable, communities stay functional, and trust in institutions survives. If action happens after, panic replaces planning. Costs explode. Policies become rushed and broken. Social unrest becomes likely. The window to act intelligently is closing.
Why Young People Matter Most
Young people will live inside this transition the longest. You will enter the workforce during it, compete in a shrinking job landscape, and carry the consequences for decades. Older leaders can afford to delay. You cannot.
What Unity Really Means
Unity does not mean chaos or violence. It means pressure with purpose. It means demanding timelines instead of speeches, supporting leaders who face reality, replacing leaders who deny or delay, and keeping this issue impossible to ignore. Politicians move when inaction becomes politically dangerous and preparation becomes expected.
The Bottom Line
AI and automation are coming whether anyone likes it or not. We can plan early and transition with dignity, or we can wait, panic, and suffer through collapse. This is not left versus right. It is prepared versus unprepared.
Please share this message with everyone you know. Talk about it, amplify it, and demand action. The future is being built right now, and silence will not protect us. Together, we can shape what comes next, and we will continue to provide updates on our progress with government officials in this SmartGuy blog section.
The SmartGuy Team
SmartGuy.com
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